Coaches Poll Prediction: Can They Fix Last Week's Mess?

Last week’s Coaches Poll was “interesting,” according to collegefootballnews.com — and that is putting it mildly.
The poll had LSU one spot ahead of Ole Miss, even though the Rebels had beaten the Tigers the previous week with a bit of fanfare. It had Penn State at No. 22 while Wisconsin, whose only loss was to Notre Dame, sat at No. 34 after winning in Happy Valley. Washington was ranked ahead of Minnesota, and SMU was placed above Louisville.
The source calls these “questionable rankings” and suggests the poll was simply off. But the biggest issue was the head-to-head inconsistency: Ole Miss had proven itself on the field against LSU, and the rankings ignored that result.
Now the question is whether the voters will fix it. Collegefootballnews.com predicts the Coaches Poll “gets cleaned up a bit this week,” but that is a prediction — the actual changes have not been confirmed.
BIG WINNERS AND LOSERS
Collegefootballnews.com predicts Florida, Penn State, and Michigan as this week's Coaches Poll Big Losers. Florida took the hardest hit, dropping from No. 8 after losing 45-17 to Missouri — a blowout that erased any argument for keeping the Gators near the top.

Missouri, the team that delivered that loss, is the source's pick as a Big Winner, rising from No. 25 on the strength of the same 45-17 victory. USC also moves up from No. 18 after beating Washington 25-21, and Oklahoma State rounds out the predicted winners despite not playing last week.
These are predictions, not confirmed results. The actual Coaches Poll has not been released, and the source's projections are based on how voters typically respond to head-to-head outcomes and margin of defeat.
The Florida slide is the clearest signal. A team that was undefeated at No. 8 lost by 28 points to an unranked opponent — that kind of result usually forces a significant correction. Missouri, meanwhile, gets the reward for a statement win that should push it well inside the top 20.
Penn State's expected drop comes after last week's questionable No. 22 placement, while Michigan's slide reflects a season that has not matched preseason expectations. The source does not specify exact landing spots for the losers, only that they will fall.
TEAMS ON THE BUBBLE
The most interesting aspect of this week's Coaches Poll won't be the top of the rankings — it will be the teams that just miss the top 25, per collegefootballnews.com.

Oklahoma State, Kentucky, Boise State, Pitt, Nebraska, Minnesota, Wake Forest, and Wisconsin should all be in contention for the final spots. But there will likely only be room for two of them.
Oklahoma State enters the conversation at 3-1, though the Cowboys had no game last week and were unranked. Kentucky is 4-1 after beating South Carolina 35-34 in overtime, but the Wildcats were also unranked.
The exact teams that make the cut are not confirmed. The source's projection is based on how voters typically weigh head-to-head results and recent form, not on any official ballot.
Wisconsin presents a particularly tricky case for voters. The Badgers' only loss came to Notre Dame, and they won in Happy Valley last week — yet they sat at No. 34 in the previous poll, well outside the top 25.
That history suggests the bubble could break unpredictably. A team like Boise State or Pitt might have a stronger résumé on paper, but voters have already shown they don't always follow the obvious logic.
PREDICTED TOP 25 SHIFTS

collegefootballnews.com has released its full Week 6 Coaches Poll prediction, and the top of the ballot looks far more sensible than last week's version. The source's projection has Kentucky sneaking in at No. 25, with Oklahoma State at No. 24, UCLA at No. 23, Duke at No. 22, and Houston at No. 21.
The middle of the poll features SMU at No. 20, Florida at No. 19, Missouri at No. 18, Mississippi State at No. 17, and Iowa at No. 16. Florida's slide from No. 8 to No. 19 after its 45-17 loss to Missouri is the steepest drop in the projection, while Missouri jumps seven spots after the blowout win.
USC checks in at No. 15, Tennessee at No. 14, Oregon at No. 13, and Utah at No. 12. LSU sits at No. 11, one spot outside the top 10.
The top 10 is where the source's projection cuts off, so the full ranking above No. 10 has not been confirmed. Only Ole Miss appears at No. 10 in the available material, with the rest of the top tier left unstated.
What is clear from the projection is that the voters are expected to correct last week's most glaring errors. LSU falling behind Ole Miss despite the Rebels' head-to-head win would mark a significant shift, and the poll's overall shape appears far closer to the AP rankings than the previous Coaches Poll.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT

The Coaches Poll is expected to be released this week, per collegefootballnews.com, though the exact release time or date has not been confirmed. Fans hoping to see last week's errors fixed will have to keep refreshing.
The source predicts the poll will be "cleaned up a bit" compared to last week's version. That means the voters are expected to correct the most glaring issues, including LSU sitting ahead of Ole Miss despite the Rebels' head-to-head win.
The real drama will be at the bottom of the top 25. Oklahoma State, Kentucky, Boise State, Pitt, Nebraska, Minnesota, Wake Forest, and Wisconsin are all reportedly in contention, but there will likely only be room for two of them. That leaves six ranked-caliber teams on the outside looking in.
Florida, Penn State, and Michigan are expected to drop, according to collegefootballnews.com. Florida's fall is the steepest projected, with the Gators sliding from No. 8 after a 45-17 loss to Missouri. Missouri, USC, and Oklahoma State are expected to be this week's big risers.
The final two spots could come down to teams with very different résumés. Wisconsin, whose only loss was to Notre Dame, beat Penn State in Happy Valley — yet last week the Badgers were unranked while the Nittany Lions sat at No. 22. Oklahoma State was also left out despite a 3-1 record.
Fans should check the actual Coaches Poll release to see if the predictions hold. Until then, the only certainty is that last week's "interesting" rankings are due for a correction.
Advertisement





