Big Ten poll overrates Michigan, underrates USC and Iowa for 2026-27

Illinois was tabbed to win the Big Ten and received 18 first-place votes in the annual media poll conducted by The Columbus Dispatch, according to www.cbssports.com. This year, three teams received a first-place vote: Illinois, Michigan State and Michigan.
Michigan is predicted to finish third in the poll, but the article labels the Wolverines as overrated. The exact impact of Dusty May's departure and Brandon McCoy Jr.'s injury on Michigan's season is not confirmed.
The article's author says he is lower on Michigan this season because it lost Dusty May late in the offseason to the Dallas Mavericks and Brandon McCoy Jr. tore his ACL during the Wolverines' European Tour in Lithuania. McCoy was a five-star freshman who might've been a lottery pick in the 2027 NBA Draft, per www.cbssports.com.
The talent on Michigan's roster is still really good, according to the article, but it's very possible Michigan takes a step back this season. The teams behind the Wolverines in the polls — especially USC and UCLA — could finish in front of them in the final Big Ten standings.
If Trey McKenney takes a Year 2 jump as many expect, Michigan will remain in the mix, the article notes. That's the counterweight to the departures — but the poll's third-place projection may be leaning too heavily on last year's national title run.
MICHIGAN'S TITLE RUN AND ROSTER CHANGES
Last season, only two teams — Purdue and Michigan — received a first-place vote to win the Big Ten in the preseason media poll, per www.cbssports.com. That prediction proved correct: the two met in the Big Ten title game hours before Selection Sunday.
Purdue beat Michigan in that championship, but the Wolverines responded by winning six consecutive games after the loss, per www.cbssports.com. That run ended with a national title, and the article says last season's Michigan team finished as one of the most dominant national title teams this century.
The roster that did it is mostly gone. Dusty May left late in the offseason for the Dallas Mavericks, and five-star freshman Brandon McCoy Jr. tore his ACL during the Wolverines' European Tour in Lithuania, per www.cbssports.com.

The talent still on Michigan's roster is really good, according to the article, but it's very possible the Wolverines take a step back this season. Whether that actually happens is not confirmed.
That uncertainty is why the article labels Michigan as overrated at No. 3 in the poll. The teams behind them — especially USC and UCLA — could finish in front of them in the final Big Ten standings, per www.cbssports.com.
The counterweight is Trey McKenney. If the guard takes a Year 2 jump as many expect, Michigan will remain in the mix, the article notes.
USC AND UCLA COULD PASS MICHIGAN
Michigan is predicted to finish third in the Big Ten media poll, but the article’s author, Isaac Trotter, argues that is too high. The teams slotted behind the Wolverines — especially USC and UCLA — could finish in front of them in the final conference standings, per www.cbssports.com.
USC is labeled as underrated in the poll, according to the article. The exact predicted finish for USC is not confirmed in the source, and the article does not provide a specific placement for the Trojans.
The concern around Michigan stems from a pair of offseason losses. Dusty May left late in the offseason for the Dallas Mavericks, and five-star freshman Brandon McCoy Jr. tore his ACL during the Wolverines’ European Tour in Lithuania, per the article.
That leaves USC and UCLA positioned to leapfrog Michigan in the standings. The talent on Michigan’s roster remains strong, but the turnover creates an opening for the teams behind them.
IOWA UNDERESTIMATED, EXPERTS SAY

Iowa is the other team the article flags as underrated in the poll, per www.cbssports.com. The specific predicted finish for the Hawkeyes is not provided in the source, and the exact reasons they are undervalued are not detailed either.
Isaac Trotter, the article's author, is the one making these overrated and underrated assessments. His case for Iowa as a sleeper is not spelled out in the piece, and no direct quotes from Iowa's coach or players are included.
What is clear is that Trotter sees the top of the Big Ten as less settled than the poll suggests. With Michigan facing turnover and USC and UCLA positioned to rise, Iowa sits in the group of teams that could benefit.
The Hawkeyes' exact placement in the poll remains unconfirmed, and the source does not break down what makes them a sleeper. Trotter's evaluation stands on its own, without the detail fans might want.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The 2026-27 college basketball season begins on Nov. 1, per www.cbssports.com, and the polls suggest the Big Ten race will be decided at the top by a familiar pair.
Illinois and Michigan State are both expected to open as consensus preseason top 10 teams after bringing back a majority of their respective cores, according to www.cbssports.com. Michigan State is led by returning All-American guard Jeremy Fears Jr., while Illinois forward David Mirković is expected to be a preseason All-American.
The Spartans and Fighting Illini give the Big Ten two legitimate national contenders. The question is whether anyone else can join them.
If Trey McKenney takes a Year 2 jump as many expect, Michigan will remain in the mix, per www.cbssports.com. Whether McKenney actually makes that leap is not confirmed, but his development is the single biggest variable for a Wolverines team that lost Dusty May to the Dallas Mavericks and five-star freshman Brandon McCoy Jr. to a torn ACL during the European Tour in Lithuania.
The season tips off in less than a month. By the time the Big Ten tournament arrives, the poll's overrated and underrated labels will have a verdict.
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