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Why the FBI's tear gas assault on Waco preceded a fire that killed 76 — and who started it remains unknown

Why the FBI's tear gas assault on Waco preceded a fire that killed 76 — and who started it remains unknown

On April 19, 1993, FBI armored vehicles punched holes into the walls of the Mount Carmel Center compound near Waco, Texas, and inserted tear gas.

A fire broke out during the assault.

Seventy-six people died inside, including leader David Koresh and more than twenty children.

The FBI tactical operation records document the gas going in.

The official death toll documents who did not come out.

What the records do not document is who started the fire.

The FBI initially blamed the Davidians.

The 1999 independent review by former Senator John Danforth found that the FBI did not start the fire.

It also could not conclusively determine who did.

So the question sits where it has sat for decades.

Did the Davidians light it themselves, as the FBI's first public statements claimed?

Did an FBI action spark it accidentally?

Did someone inside the compound make a choice, or did something outside make a mistake?

That would require evidence the record does not provide.

The gas went in first.

Then the fire.

Then the deaths.

The order of those events is documented.

The cause of the middle one is not established.

THE RAID THAT BEGAN IT

February 28, 1993.

ATF agents attempted to execute a search and arrest warrant at the Mount Carmel Center, the home of the Branch Davidian sect led by David Koresh.

The warrant rested on suspicions of illegal weapons stockpiling: fully automatic firearms, grenades, and an undercover agent's purchases of firearm parts.

That is what the investigation evidence shows.

The element of surprise was lost.

A gun battle erupted.

Four ATF agents were killed.

Six Branch Davidians were killed.

The official casualty figures list those numbers.

How did a raid meant to be quick and controlled spiral into a deadly gunfight?

The specific tactical failures that led to the loss of surprise are not detailed in the record.

Not because they were hidden. Because the record does not establish them.

The ATF had planned a swift execution of the warrant.

What went wrong is a matter of inference, not documentation.

The raid failed.

That failure set the stage for a 51-day standoff between the Davidians and the FBI.

The timeline is clear: February 28 to April 19.

The raid was the beginning.

The standoff was the consequence.

The fire was the end.

The order of those events is documented.

The cause of the middle one is not established.

THE 51-DAY STANDOFF

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